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Old 04-14-2018, 06:56 PM   #1
stiffy
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Relative Ratings Mode

So I really like relative ratings mode, as when used with the 20 to 80 scale it represents how scouts truly rate players. One qualm I have, though, is that it only applies to the main ratings, and not other things like pitches, range, arm, etc.

I'm mostly interested in pitches because I did some cursory spreadsheet work and found the average pitch for a pitcher at the MLB level in the newest file is 65.8 out of 100, or right about 60 on the 20 to 80 scale and a 13 on the 1 to 20 scale. The standard deviation was 14.96, so with this in mind we can say a 65.8 is a 50, 80.76 (65-70 out of 80, 16 out of 20) is a 60, 95.72 (75-80 out of 80, 19 out of 20) is a 70, and 110.68 (90 out of 80, 22 out of 20) is an 80. Here's the full chart:




I think this is a much more accurate portrayal of how pitches are graded in real life. A third pitch typically needs a minimum of a 40 grade for scouts to think the pitcher has a shot at starting (and that's only with two good primary pitches), which matches up with the 50/10 inflection point the game uses. Have a look through Fangraph's top 100 prospects list and MLBPipeline.com and look at their ratings on pitches for players. A 60 pitch rating is very good. Most of the top prospects have a mixture of 3 to 4 pitches in the 50 to 60 range, or have one 70/80 pitch and a couple other 50 or 40 offerings.

I'm including a link to the Google Sheet I used to compile all the numbers, which includes a few other things, like average rating of a pitcher's best pitch, 2nd best pitch, etc. as well as the average and standard deviation of individual pitch ratings (fastball, changeup, etc.). There are a couple extra sheets that use all pitchers in MLB and AAA as the basis as well as one including AA pitchers. This didn't really change the spread as much as I anticipated.

So I'm wondering, is there a plan to include the other ratings in relative ratings mode?
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